Property Market
What's happening with NZ house prices right now?
Get the latest insights on New Zealandās property markets, including trends, growth areas, and investment opportunities across regions.
Property Market
6 min read
Author: Ed McKnight
Our Resident Economist, with a GradDipEcon and over five years at Opes Partners, is a trusted contributor to NZ Property Investor, Informed Investor, Stuff, Business Desk, and OneRoof.
Reviewed by: Laine Moger
Journalist and Property Educator, holds a Bachelor of Communication (Honours) from Massey University.
As at September 2024, the median house price in West Coast is $390,000. This is up from $195,000 10 years earlier. That means that the median West Coast property increased in value by 7.18% each year, or $19,500 on average.
The most expensive suburb in West Coast is Moana, which has a median house price of $770,200 and is located in the Grey District district. That means that Moana's median house price is 197% of West Coastās median.
The least expensive suburb in West Coast is Runanga, which has a median house price of $277,100 and is located in the Grey District district. That means that Runanga's median house price is 71% of West Coastās median.
Over the last 24 months (Sep 2022 - Sep 2024), Cobden had the fastest-growing house prices in all of West Coast, at 12% per year.
The suburb that grew the slowest over that period was Kaniere, which grew at a rate of 2% per year.
West Coast house prices look relatively cheap compared to where we'd expect them to be.
In the above graph, when the purple line is below the baseline (black line), West Coast's house values are undervalued. This suggests there is a buying opportunity in the region.
When West Coastās house values are above the baseline, other regions have buying opportunities.
How is this calculated? Click on the accordions below to find out.
The map below depicts which districts within the West Coast Region have the most and least affordable house prices (REINZ, September 2024).
The darker the district, the more expensive the median house price for that area.
The Westland District is the most expensive district within the West Coast Region, with properties reaching a median price of $515,000 in September 2024.
By comparison, the Buller District is the most affordable, with a median house price of just $360,000. That's a $155,000 difference compared to Westland District.
This map shows a breakdown of how over or under-valued each council area is right now in the West Coast property market. These figures are calculated exactly the same way as the HPI based graph in the above section.
Westland District appears to be the most overvalued area in West Coast. House prices there are about 3.31% above where we would usually expect them to be over the long term.
Buller District, on the other hand, appears to be the most undervalued in West Coast. House prices in this district appear to be 5.89% below where we would expect them to be.
This means that we've got greater confidence that Buller District house prices will increase faster over the next 5-10 years compared to Westland District.
The map below illustrates the projected population growth for each district within the West Coast Region over the next 25 years (2023 - 2048).
The darker the district, the more the population is predicted to expand in that area.
Over this period, Grey district is expected to see the most growth of all the council areas within the region. -5.28% in total.
By contrast, Buller district is expected to shrink by -15.39% over the same timeframe.
Buller District is made up of 4 suburbs. The most expensive suburb is Reefton, which has an average house value of $371,100. While the most affordable suburb is Westport, which has an average house value of $347,400.
Over the last 24 months of all the Buller District suburbs (Sep 2022 - Sep 2024), Reefton had the fastest-growing house prices at 5.19% per year.
The suburb that grew the slowest over that period was Westport, which grew at a rate of 2.68% per year.
Grey District is made up of 8 suburbs. The most expensive suburb is Moana, which has an average house value of $770,200. While the most affordable suburb is Runanga, which has an average house value of $277,100.
Over the last 24 months of all the Grey District suburbs (Sep 2022 - Sep 2024), Cobden had the fastest-growing house prices at 12.01% per year.
The suburb that grew the slowest over that period was Paroa, which grew at a rate of 4.79% per year.
Westland District is made up of 2 suburbs. The most expensive suburb is Kaniere, which has an average house value of $502,900. While the most affordable suburb is Hokitika, which has an average house value of $444,100.
Over the last 24 months of all the Westland District suburbs (Sep 2022 - Sep 2024), Hokitika had the fastest-growing house prices at 3.75% per year.
The suburb that grew the slowest over that period was Kaniere, which grew at a rate of 2.48% per year.
The above graph shows how quickly house prices have increased or decreased over the previous 12 months. This is also known as ācapital growthā.
So does this show how the property market is going right now?
Yes and no.
It shows how expensive properties are today compared to 12 months ago.
While this will give us a good sense of how property values have changed, itās not the only thing to consider.
You might also look at how quickly property values are going up (or down) from month to month, the number of property sales and how quickly properties are selling.
The above graph shows the median rent within a given month.
The data comes from the Ministry of Business Innovation and Employment (MBIE) and is provided through their Tenancy Services website.
Their data is based on all the rental bonds lodged by private landlords within the month.
This graph shows the annual growth in median rents.
The data also comes from the Ministry of Business Innovation and Employment (MBIE).
This graph shows current property listings, with data sourced from realestate.co.nz.
It shows the number of listings that are currently available on the website per month.
You might be wondering: āHow do the number of listings impact house prices?ā
If many listings are available, then people will think there is lots of supply. This means that people feel like they can take their time choosing a property.
This leads to less competition and softer house prices.
On the other hand, if there arenāt many listings available, people will feel like there is a shortage of houses. This leads to FOMO (fear of missing out).
This makes people more competitive and more likely to bid up house prices.
The above graph shows the total number of properties sold over the prior 12 months. For example, if looking at the data for August 2023, the graph will show all the sales between September 2022 ā August 2023.
The data comes from the REINZ Market Insights Report and The Real Estate Institute of New Zealand (REINZ) collects data directly from agents.
You might be wondering: āHow does the volume of sales impact house prices?ā
They donāt impact house prices on their own. But a high number of sales represents a hot property market.
Thatās because there are a lot of people out there buying property.
Thatās why when sales volumes are high, property prices typically increase at the same time.
When property sales are falling, typically, property prices are also soft.
Our Resident Economist, with a GradDipEcon and over five years at Opes Partners, is a trusted contributor to NZ Property Investor, Informed Investor, Stuff, Business Desk, and OneRoof.
Ed, our Resident Economist, is equipped with a GradDipEcon, a GradCertStratMgmt, BMus,Ā and over five years of experience as Opes Partners' economist. His expertise in economics has led him to contribute articles to reputable publications like NZ Property Investor, Informed Investor, OneRoof, Stuff, and Business Desk. You might have also seen him share his insights on television programs such as The Project and Breakfast.