
Mortgages
Mortgages
3 min read
Here is your monthly interest rate report.
This gives you a quick, plain English update on how much your mortgage costs.
Interest rates continued to dive over the last month.
There was another round of cuts after the latest OCR announcement.
It wasn’t so much the OCR cut itself that caused the banks to cut.
Rather, it was the Reserve Bank’s updated OCR forecast. They now expect to lower the OCR faster than before.
Expect the OCR to hit 3% by the end of the year.
That got the markets going, and interest rates came down.
The average 1-year rate dropped 0.33%. The average negotiated 2-year rate fell 0.26%.
In comparison, the longer-term 3-year to 5-year rates haven’t changed as much.
It’s hard to overstate how massive these cuts are.
Only a year ago, ASB advertised 7.24% as the 1-year rate. Today, that same bank is advertising 5.25%.
It’s basically a 2% drop in a year.
That saves $149 a week on a $500k mortgage. That’s if you’re paying it off over 30 years.
This is big money. That’s 7.5x the tax cut we got after the last election.
But I specifically mention that the cuts came from the change in the OCR forecast … not the OCR cut itself. That won’t be repeated.
So you don’t get too excited the next time the next OCR announcement rolls around.
I expect some cuts, especially to the 6-month, 1-year and 18-month rates. But not as much as you saw over the last 30 days.
Remember, the bank usually discounts their rate when you take out a mortgage.
So they might advertise 5.25% for the 1-year rate.
But, when you borrow the money, they might offer you 5.15%.
It’s hard to see these discounts as a borrower. So, I like to share what we’re seeing at Opes Mortgages.
Last year’s big discounts are gone. Though, most banks will still offer a 0.05 – 0.2% cut, depending on the rate.
But, the 2 year rate is the clear exception. No bank currently discounts that rate.
I got a great email after last month’s report. Wyatt wanted to know how the floating rates are going. These are also falling.
Here is ANZ’s floating rate vs the OCR.
Every time the OCR gets cut, the floating rate gets cut by the same amount.
There is complete and almost immediate pass-through.
So, expect the floating rate to keep going down as the OCR drops.
Just keep in mind that the average floating rate across the 6 main banks is around 7.03%. And the average 1-year advertised rate across those same banks is 5.27%.
So, I don’t often recommend that investors float for long periods. The floating rates are over 1.5% higher.
Last month, the lowest 3-year rate was Westpac’s 4.99%. That’s now gone.
The lowest 3-year rate negotiated rate is now 5.29%.
That’s an important reminder: interest rate movements aren’t one way. Sometimes, a bank will offer a special for a week. The next week … it’s gone.
There is good news, though. The lowest 1-year rate I’m seeing has dropped from 5.45% last month to 4.99%.
Keep in mind I’m only getting that from one bank. All the other banks are 5.15 – 5.19%.
That’s still a hefty drop!
The other big change is the servicing test rates. This is what the bank tests your mortgage on.
And these changes usually happen behind the scenes.
So, although you may actually pay as little as 4.99% … the bank will make sure that you can afford the mortgage at a higher rate.
A year ago, most banks tested your mortgage application at almost 9%. Today, that’s sitting in the low 7’s.
That's why a net 54% of mortgage brokers say the banks are more willing to lend out money.
No change to cashbacks since last month. Most banks still offer 0.9% - 1% of your loan’s value.
Need help with your mortgage?
Hit reply and let me know your situation. I’ll come right back to you to see if my team can help.
Talk again next month,
Pete
Mortgage broker for over 10 years, property investor and Managing Director at Opes Mortgages
Peter Norris, a certified mortgage adviser with 10+ years of experience, serves as the Managing Director at Opes Mortgages. Having facilitated over $1.2 billion in lending for 2000+ clients, Peter is a respected authority in property financing. He's a frequent writer for Informed Investor Magazine and Property Investor Magazine, while also being recognized as BNZ Mortgage Adviser of the Year in 2018 and listed among NZ Adviser's top advisers in 2022, showcasing his expertise.