So, there’s extra margin. That’s how ANZ can cut another 0.6% off its current rate.

That’s why I see ANZ’s cut as a scene-setter. It shows you how low rates can go.

Why Did the Reserve Bank Cut the OCR?

Inflation has steadily decreased. It’s creeping closer to the Reserve Bank's target range of 1-3%.

The next official inflation data comes out next Wednesday.

But, the Reserve Bank has jumped the gun and declared that inflation is already within the 1-3% target band.

They’re probably right.

Almost all financial institutions see the war on inflation being won.

The Reserve Bank is confident we’re nearing that ideal 2%.

And as inflation comes down … so can interest rates.

What will happen next?

With interest rates falling, bank competition will heat up. So, I expect banks to start competing with that 5.59%.

We’ve got inflation data out on Wednesday. We’ll likely see a rate around 2.5%. Within the target band.

Then, you have another OCR announcement at the end of November. I think we‘ll see at least another 0.25% OCR cut.

All of this puts downward pressure on mortgage interest rates.

Which means that next year will be interesting. You should start to see a bit of recovery in the property market.

So, if you’re looking at buying refixing – it might be time to get started on those plans sooner rather than later.

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Andrew Nicol

Managing Director, 20+ Years' Experience Investing In Property, Author & Host

Andrew Nicol, Managing Director at Opes Partners, is a seasoned financial adviser and property investment expert with 20+ years of experience. With 40 investment properties, he hosts the Property Academy Podcast, co-authored 'Wealth Plan' with Ed Mcknight, and has helped 1,894 Kiwis achieve financial security through property investment.

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